At a glance, the passing defense of the Jaguars (1-2) looks bad — they’re ranked 19th in total passing yards allowed — but if you delve in a bit deeper things are much worse. This was already seeming like a potential blowout, with Deshaun Watson and the Texans (0-3) getting a chance to work out their frustrations on one of the worst defenses in the N.F.L. Put that offense up against the Falcons (0-3), who have looked terrible on defense and have blown enormous leads in back-to-back weeks, and you might expect a blowout. Things got worse on Saturday, when positive tests forced the week’s other top game, between Kansas City and New England, to be postponed until Monday or Tuesday. Indianapolis is the better team, and this line is right at my comfort zone. That seems like a tough combo for the road team to overcome. Let's have some fun.

They’ve allowed 25.7 points and 380 yards per game, and those numbers don’t appear to be fluky, as Football Outsiders has them ranked 24th in their catchall metric of Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. Had the Cardinals taken care of business vs. the Lions, perhaps an undefeated team would overlook this trip to Carolina. Week 4 will wrap up on Monday Night Football with the Green Bay Packers looking to keep their 3-0 straight-up and against the spread streak alive … It won’t be for four quarters. That will not be picked this week. And now just like last year, we're bringing you guys weekly predictions for every single NFL game. … Buy Tom Brady Bucs jersey: Fanatics, NFL Shop, Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans (-3.5).

© 2020 Advance Local Media LLC. In many ways, New England appeared to be set up as well as anyone to compete with Kansas City. Their success owes to the emergence of quarterback Josh Allen, who has thrown for at least 300 yards in each game and has an absurd passer rating of 124.8, now that he’s got a true No. The 2020 NFL season has returned in a big way through the first three weeks of the year. What in the world is going on with the Bills’ (3-0) defense? Adam - 28-19 The practice facility for the Tennessee Titans has been closed since Tuesday. MY PICK: Ravens. There’s even less logic for picking the Jets vs. anyone right now. The team has not started a season 3-1 since 2001. It feels crazy to lay this many points with a road team in the NFL, but these factors can’t be ignored: - Baltimore will be focused off an embarrassing Monday Night Football loss to the Chiefs, - Washington quarterback Dwayne Haskins is really bad right now, - No fans rob the home team of any sort of upstart support in a close game, - Chase Young is banged up, changing the dynamic of the strength of the underdog.

Note to readers: if you purchase something through one of our affiliate links we may earn a commission. But let’s not pretend that this Packers defense isn’t dead last in the NFL in yards allowed (6.6) per play. Enter Joe Burrow of the Bengals (0-2-1) who hasn’t won a game yet, but has 628 yards passing, five touchdowns and no interceptions over his last two starts. A quick primer for those who are not familiar with betting lines: Favorites are listed next to a negative number that represents how many points they must win by to cover the spread. Sean McVay and Jared Goff have found themselves again, and that’s bad news for the rest of the NFL. There’s no logical reason for a Broncos team with a backup QB and injuries across the field to travel across the country and win a road game on a short week. Last week’s come-from-behind win over Atlanta convinced the Bears that Nick Foles should be starting at quarterback, which is a positive change, but they probably can’t rely on the Colts to collapse like Detroit and Atlanta did. Rarely has a team seemed so unjustifiably undefeated, but Chicago has been bizarrely magical in the fourth quarter. Pick: Browns +4.5, Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m., Fox, Despite a surprising loss to Detroit last week, the Cardinals (2-1) have established that their offense must be reckoned with.
Week 4 of the NFL season features a little bit of everything. The material on this site may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used, except with the prior written permission of Advance Local. Its defense is strongest in the secondary, where cornerback Stephon Gilmore might be able to reasonably contain Kansas City wide receiver Tyreek Hill, and its offense is heavily run-focused, which is a weak point for the Chiefs defense — one that Baltimore almost bizarrely couldn’t exploit enough last week. My favorite pick of the week! Ryan Fitzpatrick is unpredictable and prone to mistakes, but he is also likely excited for a shot at the current version of Seattle’s defense. Cornerback Richard Sherman is at least a week away from returning, as are quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and running back Raheem Mostert.

If bounces went differently in those games, we could be talking about a 3-0 Cowboys team. But Seattle has to travel west-to-east for an early start, is coming off back-to-back emotional, close, high-scoring games at home and brings in a defense that can’t stop any passing attack. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers may be without receiver Chris Godwin this week, but they may still get plenty of opportunities against a depleted Chargers defense.

multiple members of the Tennessee Titans tested positive, a league that often finds itself hard to root for, Rarely has a team seemed so unjustifiably undefeated, absence of running back Christian McCaffrey, N.F.L.-record 14 touchdown passes through three weeks, news of positive coronavirus tests on both teams, Kansas City brushed off the mighty Baltimore Ravens, by racing down the field to deliver a block. Thanks to Khalil Mack, Tashaun Gipson and the Bears’ defense, Chicago has outscored its opponents by 41-10 in the fourth quarter this season. With that in mind, the Browns (2-1) have a shot to get to 3-1 for the first time since 2001 with a huge day from either quarterback Baker Mayfield or running Nick Chubb — or both. But there’s a light at the end of the tunnel, with wide receiver Deebo Samuel and tight end George Kittle both expected to play this week. MY PICK: Colts. Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season features an incredible slate of games, including the New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills vs. Las … One of those nine wins won’t come on Sunday. How else would you explain Kansas City needing overtime to beat the Chargers a week before their triumph in Baltimore? Matt Patricia’s defense has no answer for Alvin Kamara in a shootout. Coming off an upset of Arizona, Detroit has run the ball a lot this season thanks to the ageless Adrian Peterson, but the potential is always there for a big passing day from Matthew Stafford. Rookies are unpredictable, and the Jaguars’ offense isn’t quite as bad as it looked last week, but Cincinnati is a rightful favorite. But Mahomes has had some tough luck against teams led by Coach Bill Belichick in the past, and if the young quarterback wants to prove a point, he will. The bad defense has … worked out fine thus far.
N.F.L. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers will undoubtedly break out a few new touchdown celebrations this week, but they won’t necessarily win in a blowout. Jonathan Taylor vs. the stout Chicago front. We picked the Jets (0-4) assuming Denver’s injuries would be a larger issue, but after losing this eminently winnable game, it is questionable if Gang Green can beat anyone. But if Buffalo is going to keep this strong start going and win a road game against the fairly decent Raiders (2-1) the defense will have to figure things out. Plus, keep an eye on a Patriots pass defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in pass defense DVOA, per Football Outsiders. This sure feels like the game that gets Adam Gase fired. Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Chicago Bears. I like the Browns and think they are a nine-win team. They are allowing an N.F.L.-worst 118.6 passer rating, have had only three sacks over three games and, according to Football Outsiders, are the least efficient unit by a country mile, making even the Jets seem competent by comparison. The team returned nearly everyone from last season’s stout crew and they’ve looked terrible, regardless of the team’s undefeated start. MY PICK: Jets. Our editorial content is not influenced by any commissions we receive. COMPLEX participates in various affiliate marketing programs, which means COMPLEX gets paid commissions on purchases made through our links to retailer sites.

These are straight up picks and not ATS. Tom Brady is settling in well and the team’s defense has proved that it is a force. If not for an egregious special teams error by the Falcons in Week 2, Dallas could be winless. That is terrible news for the Eagles (0-2-1), who, in fairness, have been playing so poorly that it might not matter who suits up for San Francisco. Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.5). Pick: Colts -2.5, Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:25 p.m., CBS. Two games — Chiefs-Patriots and Titans-Steelers — have been postponed. That qualifies as a good start, and it is one that is much more sustainable than the perfect record of the Bears (3-0). When each week arrives, we’re guaranteed a few things: Fantasy football, cheering on your favorite team, and, of course, taking a peek at the spreads in order to make sure you’re on the right side of every outcome. Sign up now for a free trial. I love this game. A good amount of teams won't have fans to start the season and with a shortened offseason, the football could look a little ugly to start the season. Pick: Texans, Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m., NBC. Plus, exclusive news and analysis. The Cowboys (1-2) have played three incredibly exciting games already this season, but they’ve lost two of them, which isn’t exactly a strong endorsement of the Coach Mike McCarthy era.

1 target in receiver Stefon Diggs.